Wednesday 11th December 2024
All the presentations on Wednesday will be of interest to both delegates interested in crop nutrition, and those interested in fertiliser production.
| Wednesday 11th December 2024 | |
|---|---|
| 11.30-13.00 | Guided walking tour of historic Cambridge |
| MAIN AUDITORIUM PRESENTATIONS | |
| 14.00 | Conference program starts |
| Current and future costs and benefits of nitrogen fertiliser Alfredo Rodríguez, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Spain | |
| Impact of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on the cost and supply of fertiliser Mike Nash, Argus Media, UK | |
| Tea / coffee break | |
| Impact of new electrolysis technology on the production of green ammonia and farm gate prices Kevin Rouwenhorst, Ammonia Energy Association, The Netherlands | |
| The adverse impacts of nitrogen use in Europe on human health, climate, and ecosystems Gerard Ros, Wageningen University and Research, The Netherlands | |
| 17.40 (approx.) | Conference program ends |
| 19.00 – 20.00 | Dinner |
| 20.15 – 21.15 | Team Quiz |
Current and future costs and benefits of nitrogen fertiliser
Alfredo Rodríguez, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Spain
Cereals are the most important staple crop on a global scale, absorbing over half of synthetic nitrogen fertiliser and more than half of the arable land. While this fertiliser produced by the Haber-Bosch process contributes to feeding half of the population and supports food choices, combined with the reactive N generation from nitrogen-fixing crop cultivation and deposition due to fossil fuel burning, it has doubled the global natural input of reactive N.
It is widely accepted that this increase in such inputs has significant impacts on aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. The use of synthetic fertilisers and manure in agricultural practices represents a major global source of contamination from ammonia, nitrates, and nitrous oxide, with relevant effects on ecosystems, human health and life expectancy, and climate change.
These adverse impacts are an increasing offset of the obvious benefits for food security and the economy of farms and agro-food industry. They pose challenges to manage fertiliser application both in terms of input levels and application (4R).
With the aim of achieving the best possible synergy between food security and agricultural economy, the NBCalCer model (Nitrogen Benefit Cost calculator for Cereals) was developed. This model enables the quantification, in the long-term, of the effects of nitrogen input on grain yields, nitrogen budgets and major environmental impacts worldwide at country to state resolution. NBCalCer also quantifies market and non-market (externalities) benefits and costs. For this purpose, environmental damages are monetised.
In this study, NBCalCer was used to analyse the benefit-cost consequences for both the farmer and for society as a whole, and to quantify the economic optimum N rates for farmers (EONR) and for society (SONR). This has been done for the present time and for 2050, using three contrasting Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios, by changing N inputs and potential yields for cereal systems in global regions.
The results show that, in general, the benefit-cost ratio of the use of N for cereal production decreases in the future, with the quantity depending on the region and the scenario, and with some regions with the ratio being lower than one. Globally, SONR is around 68% of the EONR value, illustrating that current inputs of synthetic N fertilisers are not providing maximum societal benefits, while acknowledging that these rates are often suboptimal in many parts of the world for farm income and regional grain sufficiency.
Impact of the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism on the cost and supply of fertiliser
Mike Nash, Argus Media, UK
As part of its plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions, the EU has created the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, or CBAM for short, which is a levy which puts a carbon price on the import of some fertilizers made outside the EU. It is designed to encourage non-EU producers to decarbonise and to prevent so-called carbon leakage, the moving of production assets away from Europe to countries where environmental controls may be more lax.
Europe is a mature fertilizer market, but a big one, and is heavily reliant on imports of key fertilizer products, particularly urea, DAP and nitrates. In this paper, Argus Senior Editor Mike Nash takes a look at where we are now in terms of actual implementation of CBAM, what the timeline is for eventual full introduction of the levy and what products it applies to, namely AS, AN, CAN, UAN, NP, NPKs, NPs, DAP, MAP, urea and ammonia. These constitute the bulk of imports into the EU. He will take a closer look at how CBAM actually works with the Emissions Trading System (ETS) before examining the likely impact on Europe’s fertiliser sector and crucially the prices of those fertiliser products.
Mike is senior editor for the fertiliser division at Argus Media, a UK-based market reporting agency, and has covered fertiliser markets for 20 years..
Impact of new electrolysis technology on the production of green ammonia and farm gate prices
Kevin Rouwenhurst, Ammonia Energy Association, Netherlands
The first electrolysis-based projects to produce green ammonia are now coming online, commissioned by companies such as Fertiberia, Yara and CF Industries. These typically have a capacity in the order of 20-24 MW capacity. In addition the first larger scale-up projects are now being implemented, such as Egypt Green and NEOM. Thus the development and industrialisation of electrolysis technology is proceeding at pace.
This presentation will build on the one given in 2022, providing an update on the global project pipeline, including cost numbers for realised projects, with their associated levelised costs of ammonia. It will also cover emerging good practice on implementing electrolyser capacity in ammonia plants, with a focus on revamps / newbuilds, along with the developments and potential benefits / impact on green NH3 revamps and new plants related to electrolyser technologies.
The adverse impacts of nitrogen use in Europe on human health, climate, and ecosystems
Gerard Ros, Wageningen University and Research, The Netherlands
Human activities have significantly contributed to the conversion of atmospheric nitrogen (N) gas into various reactive N compounds that are biologically, radiatively or photochemically active. We reviewed all effects of reactive N inputs on air, soil, and water quality across Europe between 1990 and 2019, focusing on trends and geographical variations, and using data from long-term monitoring networks and air quality simulations with EMEP. Trends in ecological and human health risks were assessed by the exceedance of critical levels and critical loads of N.
Over the period studied, emissions of nitrogen oxides (NOx) and ammonia (NH3) showed a notable decline, with NOx emissions dropping by 57% and NH3 by 27%, though NH3 concentrations rose slightly due to reduced sulphur emissions. The impacts on ozone concentrations and ecosystem health were mixed, with only minor improvements in ozone-related indicators. In contrast, N deposition and exceedances of critical N loads in terrestrial ecosystems decreased by 60%, although the area affected by these exceedances reduced by only 10%. The review underscores that despite significant reductions in N emissions, hotspots of N pollution persist, particularly in intensive agricultural and urban regions.
We lastly explored the economic implications of reactive N use, finding that the environmental costs of N pollution outweigh the economic benefits it provides to agriculture. As N is critical for sustaining food production, we advocate for integrated plant nutrition strategies that minimize environmental impacts while maintaining agricultural productivity. Key questions arise regarding the applicability and effectiveness of sustainable nitrogen management practices, considering both economic and ecological factors. Considering the adverse impacts of nitrogen, further efforts are thus needed to reduce the N losses during the whole food supply chain, as currently aimed for in the ‘Farm to Fork Strategy’ with a goal to reduce nutrient losses by 50% in 2030.
















